• Home /
  • Uncategorized /

Back into the rhythm of the markets after a restful break, re-focus our energy in the right directions

The first thing I’m doing this morning is getting back into the ‘rhythm’ of my trading. Everything from my morning routine to my mental prep before I take my first trade; this is when I need to focus on my routine and let myself get back into ‘the zone’ where I was when I left end of last week. One of the biggest mistakes I made as a rookie day trader was to force trades the first day back from vacation, so let’s not make the same mistake this week. Take it slow the first day back, don’t try to do too much, have some fun, get back into our routine. Looking at the news this morning we have the 8:15 ADP Employment Report, followed by news at 10:00 from both ISM Manufacturing & Construction Spending, all three will be important for us to watch this morning ahead of Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls Report which will certain have people watching. The most important aspect of today’s news is what we DO NOT SEE…Crude Oil Inventories are normally on Wednesday’s but due to the Monday Holiday its been pushed back until tomorrow @ 11am EST. Think about how that could affect the markets? Traders won’t be trading TODAY because the news is tomorrow…at the same time…traders wont trade TOMORROW because the news wasn’t TODAY. Traders love things to be the SAME when they trade and this is an easy excuse to sit on the sidelines this week for the crude news, so we will be watching how volume and speed react to this LACK of news at 10:30am today. I can see we have Gold Futures in contract rollover today, now trading the 8-11 contract. Let’s review that process together in our live trade room this morning, as well as the Dollar Index, Crude Oil, Russell, Euro and more. We Love Your Feedback! Read and Post it here J Live Trade Room is open, come join us! Click here for helping logging into the Trade Room

    schooloftrade

    Click Here to Leave a Comment Below

    Anonymous - June 1, 2011 Reply

    Our plan of attack on Crude Oil:
    Break above 103.39 and we need to consider this bull channel the real deal, and lets start buying pullbacks.
    We also know that if price below 100.92 it will signal a change in trend and we will start to sell the highs of the wedge and the channel, the target is the lows of the wedge/channel. The BMT may be an easier target.
    We know that we do NOT have any CAD news today or the rest of the week.
    We do NOT have inventories today at 1030am est like we usually do, so we expect to see the traders sit on hands and wait for tomorrow. At the same time, we’re concerned that tomorrow those same traders may not be comfortable with trading outside of what they normally do.
    We expect low volume on crude oil today and tomorrow, and then finishing the week with a bang after Non farm payrolls.
    We see the PHOD is above us, and the PLOD is below us, making this an inside trading day.
    Buy the lows and sell the highs, expect the market to trade INSIDE this range as a higher % trade.
    Find the sideways range and wait to buy the lows and sell the highs.
    “Fade the levels, rather than looking for breakouts”

    If price rises:
    • im selling at resistance first, then buying new higher highs with pullbacks.
    • Never buying at the highs.
    • sell the highs of the short term wedge in blue trend lines
    • avoid the OPEN 102.90
    • sell the highs of the wedge
    • above 103.39 im buying pullbacks, assuming this is now a bullish trending market inside the bull channel
    if price falls:
    • I will buy at support first, and then sell retracements with new lower lows.
    • I will not sell at the lows
    • I will avoid the trend line highs of the channel (very sloppy) and the big round number of 102.00
    • buy the lows of the sideways range at 101.81, but beware of this sloppy big round number.
    • Sell retracements with new lower lows below 101.81, looking for the BMT at 101.21 as the target.
    • Avoid trading around the BMT at 101.21, which is also the Previous OPEN
    • Buy the PLOD as support 100.92 and then sell new lower lows with a retracement.
    • I will buy the lows of the price channel.
    • I will buy the support below the price channel around 100.00, but beware that price level is DANGEROUS! BRN 100.00
    • Buy 99.60 as major support if price can get down that far.

    Leave a Reply: