May 18, 2011

Inside Trading Day vs. Outside Trading Day

–          Inside vs. Outside Trading Days
o    Inside = trading inside the range from yesterday
§  Nothing has changed from one day to the next, so use the current trading ranges as your highs and lows
§  It may never leave the range
§  It may break the highs/lows of the prev day’s range and then later come back in (we call that a failure)
§  Buy the lows and sell the highs of this range, and beware of the fake-out breakouts (inside days are there for a reason, you wont see many easy breakout)
o    Outside = trading outside the range from yesterday
§  We assume an outside day tells us people see value in higher or lower prices, so expect the current ranges to be broken.
§  If we breakout UP
·         Tells us the buyers are in charge
·         The market sees value in higher prices
·         Buying pullbacks will be the high % trade
·         Look for the price to come back down into the range from the previous day
·         While you can assume that buyers are trying to push this higher, we also must remember that the previous range will act like a price magnet.
·         If we see the OPEN and the BMT inside that previous range, now you need to be aware that a price reversal may be the better trade.
§  If we break DOWN:
·         Sellers in charge
·         The market sees value in lower prices
·         Selling retracements at new lower lows
·         I also want to be aware that price may try and reverse and go back UP into the prev range above us.
·         If the OPEN or the BMT is inside the range above you, consider this to be a price magnet.

o    I will use my PHOD and PLOD indicators to locate the previous days range.

–          When is the best time to enter a pullback?
o    Watch the video the on the blog
o    Members can log in and watch the videos on that topic:
§  3 Price Patterns
§  Trigger Zone Tool
§  Wave Pattern Video
–          3 Signs of Price Reversals
o    I don’t just take profit out of fear
§  Price Reversals & Fake-Out Breakouts
–          Opposite of a Wedge = Expansion
–          How do we use the MACD Indicator?
o    Use the crosses when overbought/oversold for the highest % moves
–          When do we have contract rollover?  What is the current month on the Currencies and the E-mini?
o    Contract Rollover for EVERY Futures Market
–          What if trigger lines are the SAME price?
o    34/21/13/etc all of them are the same price, or near the same price this tells me the entire market is sideways
o    If the slower timeframe has the same trigger line price level that tells me that price has been trading at that area for a LONG TIME.
–          Easy ways to learn to read the tape
–          Working a day job on EST
o    Trade after 630pm EST (happy hour trade)
o    Or from 3am to 6am EST for the Euro open
–          What are the two yellows lines on our chart?

    schooloftrade

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