Monday, August 22, 2011

Avoid Chasing Trades with this simple technique



Chasing Trades
It’s when you see a pattern, and you miss the exact entry and you try and ‘chase’ after it to get into the trade.
What are the problems when you chase?
-          You risk getting filled at the HIGHS (end) of that move
-          Slippage will be a major concern as the ‘move’ takes off
-          Risk/Reward Ratio may be too high
o    Example:  Entry @ 100
·         Stop @ 90
·         Target @ 110
·         R/R/R = 1:1
·         10t stop and 10tick target
o    Chase Example: Entry @ 105
·         Stop @ 90
·         Target @ 110
·         R/R/R = 2:1
What am i doing when I chase?
-          I’m trying to get into a trade that I missed
o    Not paying attention/ not prepared
§  Anticipate trades before they happen in the ADV Course
o    No trade to take
§  Was there NO trigger for the entry?
§  Next time sit on hands, don’t even take the trade.
§  We dont trade JUST because the market is moving
o    Happened too fast
§  Anticipate trades before they happen
§  Be ready for the AREA/LOCATION to be tested and get ready quickly to qualify the pattern
§  Sometimes good trades can get away from you because the price action moves too fast.
o    Big Money showed up late (guilty)
§  I see the pattern, and I see the rules lined up, all I need is the big money
§  Big money comes in late, the move is 50% complete and now im chasing.
Most important thing to solve this problem is to define and set rules for chasing.
Joe’s Rule = I will not chase more than 7 ticks above my desired entry.
Example:
-          Breaker Long
-          Desired entry long @ 55
-          I will not enter long above 55
-          If I see big money, everything confirms above 55, im sitting on hands and waiting for the next.
3 different rules for chasing a trade:
-          7 ticks = aggressive
-          5 ticks = average
-          3-4 ticks = conservative
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Change the font on your charts
-          Right clicking on your charts
-          Select the chart properties
-          Change the font from there
-          Save your template and save your workspace
-          Support@SchooLofTrade.com
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Contract Rollover:
-          Crude rolled over today 10-11
-          Gold rolls over every 60 days 12-11
-          Emini, Dollar, Currencies, Bonds all roll over every 90 days 09-11
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Overbought and Oversold Momentum
-          The best long trades come with oversold
-          The best short trades come with overbought
-          Can i trade long with overbought?
o    Yes, but I need to be aware its higher risk
o    Yes, I need compensating factors
§  News comes out extremely bullish
§  Sellers failed recently
§  High Speed & LOTS of big buyers
§  Use other timeframes as your guide (more risky)

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